'A violent loser, and a mutt.'
One death I’ve been thinking about
is that of barely-remembered Osama Bin Laden, and in turn the wider policy of extra-judicial
killing.
The killing of Bin Laden was, according to Barack Obama, ‘one
of the greatest military operations in our nation's history.’ Fair enough – even
if it is an over-statement, his death was legitimately an occasion for
overstatement. And the intelligence build-up leading to his death was by the
sound of it an extraordinary achievement.
But… one can't help wonder if, over the long years of the
War on Terror, the US has lost sight of the days when her fighting men took on
other soldiers, rather than over-excited holy men. To recap: a large team of
soldiers, trained at eye-watering expense to the taxpayer, successfully shot an
unarmed old man in the face; while also killing or injuring one armed opponent,
and five unarmed women. Along the way they also, inexplicably, lost a
$60-million helicopter.
This was no Iwo Jima, Mr President.
'This was no Iwo Jima, Mr President.'
(I mean, the killing of Bin Laden wasn't - this picture was Iwo Jima, obviously. Read the above bit before you read this caption, it'll make more sense).
But I’m snarking. I agree with the case that Bin Laden was an
enemy commander in the field and a fair target, rather than a civilian felon – al
Qaida were, still are, a heavily militarized outfit, and the notion that one
single set of anti-terrorist laws can provide grounds for action against e.g. both
Baader Meinhof-style groups and, say,
Hezbollah, is a clear nonsense.
And, frankly, I think in some ways it was a classily
executed affair. It delivered a sickener to other violent losers in a way that will probably save
lives – you won’t get a blaze of glory, you’ll disappear with a ‘splosh’ and
the world will forget about you, like the mutt you were. And you can forget
about the seventy virgins too.
However I’m not too interested in delving into rights and
wrongs in these two posts (though I accept both are highly debatable, and am
not trying to draw the question to a premature close). I’m more concerned with
looking at neglected possibilities, and disturbing corollaries that weren’t
immediately obvious to me. I’ve not read round this topic a great deal, so it’s
more than possible that they have proven obvious to a great many others, on an
immediate basis.
The first query. A participant in the raid (Mark Owen, the
one that wrote the book – N. B. not Mark Owen)
described it as routine in most aspects and no different to many targeted
killings he was involved with before (the so-called 'decapitation' strategy targetting the mid-level leadership of the Taliban). We know that in Iraq and, with less
success, Afghanistan, thousands of such ‘kinetic’ operations have taken place (what is it
with the macho posturing of soldiers from certain countries? surely when you're
the real thing, you don't have to speak like you're pretending to be the real
thing?). As one source rather unpleasantly
put it – the Americans, supported by the British, have been killing ‘on an
industrial scale’.
Is it implied therefore that the casualty rate of the
operation (one target, one armed combatant, and five unarmed non-combatants mostly female) was also uncontroversial and typical? We know that certain aspects of
the operation were controversial, as
chuntering ensued – the intrusion into Pakistani territory, and the ethics of
the intelligence operation (the sneaky obtaining of DNA samples, the possible
use of torture) for example. But there seems to have been no attempt to hide or
query the fact that, in a so-called surgical strike, only two of the seven
casualties were valid targets.
Now it might be that behind closed doors commanders were
furious about this rate of 'collateral damage' or 'attrition' or 'accidental
neutralization of enemies of freedom' or whatever silly term they use. Perhaps such things are done behind closed doors.
Possible, but then contrast the public contrition and the punishments
doled out when US forces accidentally killed a hostage by throwing a grenade at
her (the deeply unfortunate Linda Norgrove).
We certainly heard about the fallout that time.
So given this, and given the general openness and leakiness
of the United States and its institutions, it seems reasonable to conclude that
within military circles this was a non-controversial operation, with a casualty
rate that was entirely to be expected.
In which case, if these operations have killed, let's say, a
thousand Al-Qaida and Taliban militants in Iraq and Afghanistan, then it
follows that another 3,500 non-combatants might have been killed and injured on
top of that.
This would clearly be a great wrong – and inexcusable from a
modern, technologically superb power. Indeed, looking at accounts of the raid,
it seems likely that the casualties piled up because of a culture of risk
aversion which is massively stacked in favour of trained combatants, and
against non-combatants who never asked to be involved in the first place.
That is: the person you are shooting at might or might not be a threat, but it is preferable for an enemy non-combatant to be killed than for a friendly combatant to take the risk of being killed. Expendability shifts from soldiers, whose lives and expertise are politically and economically valuable respectively, to enemy non-combatants, whose deaths don’t sell newspapers or swing elections.
That is: the person you are shooting at might or might not be a threat, but it is preferable for an enemy non-combatant to be killed than for a friendly combatant to take the risk of being killed. Expendability shifts from soldiers, whose lives and expertise are politically and economically valuable respectively, to enemy non-combatants, whose deaths don’t sell newspapers or swing elections.
I think someone wrote a book on this topic about ten years
ago, calling it something like The
Western Way of War. I suppose it could be argued that this argument is now
out of date – the ‘heroic restraint’ drive (gist – upon seeing a non-white
person with a firearm, at least wait a bit before calling in a massive
airstrike) identifies and has possibly solved this very problem. We should be prepared
to accept that the US military, with its extraordinary flexibility and
adaptability, has turned the tanker around. But if the Bin Laden raid was
representative – maybe not yet.
My second point is wider. As suggested above, the media’s
utter beguilement at anything to do with the special forces, and their frequent
inability to discover the truth surrounding them, produces a kind of ‘moral hazard’ for the soldiers. By 'moral hazard' I mean, to borrow OED's definition, the lack of incentive to avoid risk where there is protection against its consequences, e.g. by insurance.' The reluctance of the press to criticize America’s elite forces (itself
possibly a consequence of popular support for them – witness the success of
recent film Lone Survivor starring Mark ‘we’re going to land somewhere safely’ Wahlberg)
is likely one factor among others that enables the soldiers’ heavy-handedness - see e.g. here.
An altogether more pernicious enabling factor is the patronage
military elites attract from the political elites that
should be overseeing and crosschecking them. An elite, that is, is all too
often someone's elite - a would-be Praetorian
Guard. The result is an out-of-control military cabal, and the subversion of
democratic principles at the hands of their supposed guardians.
Think, for instance, of the love-in between Thatcher and the
SAS during the 1980s (and doubtless beyond) which culminated, bizarrely and disturbingly, with Thatcher
using them to quell a prison disturbance in Scotland (HMS Peterhead). Think the
Revolutionary Guard in Iran, and its extensive political power; Putin and Russia’s paramilitaries; and any number of
South and Central American tinpot dictatorships, probably.
A certain ideological narcissism is
involved – Thatcher saw in the SAS not just a flag-waving, tab-pleasing
vote-spinner, but also a self-flattering reflection of her own buccaneering,
brawny, and pitiless free-market individualism. More to the point, this seems
also to underlie the Pentagon’s fairly recent espousal of unconventional
soldiering, having until recently been unsold on the idea (which stands to reason –
why faff around with unconventional warfare when you have more conventional power
than any nation in history?).
Donald Rumsfeld (now forgotten about, in a way eerily similar to his nemesis Bin Laden) saw in US special forces not just the right tool for the job he was about to make an absolute pig’s ear of – viz. fighting the war on terror – but also a chance to radically downsize the US military and with it the federal government. As a small-government fundamentalist, this was a higher ideological end (an end served also by replacing professional soldiers with the nightclub bouncers, tubby ex-policemen, and other cowboys that make up Blackwater / Xe / Academi).
Donald Rumsfeld (now forgotten about, in a way eerily similar to his nemesis Bin Laden) saw in US special forces not just the right tool for the job he was about to make an absolute pig’s ear of – viz. fighting the war on terror – but also a chance to radically downsize the US military and with it the federal government. As a small-government fundamentalist, this was a higher ideological end (an end served also by replacing professional soldiers with the nightclub bouncers, tubby ex-policemen, and other cowboys that make up Blackwater / Xe / Academi).
In the run up to the invasion of Iraq, for instance, civilian Rumsfeld insisted
that the country could be conquered by 15,000 special forces soldiers backed by
airpower. The generals didn’t listen to him, obviously, and instead fielded 150,000 soldiers
from the US alone (‘shut up, Don’).
So it is easy to see how an anointed elite can come to
operate in isolation from the moral and political pressures that should circumscribe
its actions. There is a dangerous feedback loop – the politician identifies in
the soldiers an aspirational image of himself and his ideology, a hefty dose of reflected
glory (decisive, strong, daring, a cut above, etc.), and the soldiers are more
than happy in turn to exploit this affection – it protects their budget (likely
contested anyway) and gives them more opportunity to do all the fun things they train
for but never actually get to do. And
the more ‘fun’ they have (think back to the ‘killing on an industrial scale’)
the more glory accrues to their political paymaster.
This mutually reinforcing pattern is the very opposite of
the accountability ministers must impose on the military, as a sort of inertia
mechanism. And the results are real, and bad – many of the ‘enhanced interrogation’
techniques that proliferated over the past decade plus were traced back to the resistance-to-interrogation training inflicted on elite soldiers. This was where the rot
was coming from.
It is under this culture of tutelage, then, that the Navy
SEALs shot the five unarmed occupants in Bin Laden’s compound. Did a similar
culture see British soldiers and /spies – in the high watermark of
Thatcherite cowboyism during the Troubles – use Loyalist terrorists to
systematically murder Republicans during the late 80s and early 90s, as is alleged? We don’t
know yet – but you wouldn’t rule it out, despite the implausibilities.
There's another post I want to write, about how, sadly, such unaccountable and shady military adventurism is the likely future of the British Army. But I'll leave it here for now.
There's another post I want to write, about how, sadly, such unaccountable and shady military adventurism is the likely future of the British Army. But I'll leave it here for now.
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