This one’s about Scotland.
I’ve been thinking about the independence debate for a long time. It is something I feel strongly about. I can’t say much about the economic arguments for and against independence, though I’ve no doubt of the sheer, stir-fried madness of building an economy around oil – while the price may fluctuate unpredictably, there’s one true thing you can always predict of oil, which is that it will run out eventually – and currency union with a foreign government cannot be in the interests of either.
But there are other arguments beyond the economic ones, so here goes with my notion of why the UK should remain together.
Why the union is a good thing
I unashamedly love my country, and believe Scotland’s departure would ruin something I love. So let's start here: the union is a good thing, and independence is bad because it would destroy a good thing.
First, the union's success is proven. Scotland and England are bound by the most successful political union in modern history (the Americans fouled their own strong claim to that honour by fighting a colossal civil war). The Nationalists have yet to give any convincing proof whatsoever that the relationship has become dysfunctional or unsustainable.
Gordon Brown is currently doing a good job of arguing that the relationship works, and can continue to work, because it redistributes wealth, shares risk, and so makes social-democratic government possible across the UK. I agree with that, and it is sensible politics, but more central to the union, I believe, is talent-sharing – Scotland produces more talent than it can provide opportunities for; union allows the UK to benefit from Scotland’s unusually deep resources of innovators, thinkers, and doers, while Scotland benefits from the broader canvas its larger and more populous neighbour can offer.
It is no surprise then that the Scottish contribution to the union so often seems to be institutional – the BBC, the Bank of England, and the Oxford English Dictionary are all in large part the bairns of south-bound Scotsmen. Parliament and the army are similarly Scot-heavy – a mere fifty years after union, a quarter of British Army officers (i.e. not just rankers) were Scottish. So it seems clear that ambitious Scotsmen saw in England, and still do, stable and growing institutions that can offer good prospects for advancement to the talented.
This is where the union faces a problem. It is a union of elites – a stitch-up between lousy parliamentarians without a care for the common man, if you believe Rabbie Burns, and even if you don’t it is abundantly clear from all those Burns Night suppers at Oxbridge colleges and on board HMS What-nots, probably attended by English-sounding Scotsmen with names like Sandy or Rory, that the union is closer at the top of society than it is at the bottom. No middle- or working-class English family or workplace, for example, would celebrate Burns Night.
I think this does leave open a chink for the nationalist argument that the union always overlooked the larger population of Scotland, and that this sense of alienation reached a climax during the Thatcher years. But I’ll turn to that below. In short, it seems to me that Scotland has with its only neighbour more common understanding, more shared experience, and more familiarity than it will ever have with any other nation. The Nationalist habit of hunting for exemplar nations that an independent Scotland could imitate – as I discuss below – is bogus.
Why independence would be a bad thing
I also love Scotland greatly, and so reject independence as something that would do harm to something I love. Here is why I think it would harm Scotland, and so be a bad thing.
As is often pointed out, and recently in a staggeringly reasonable intervention by John Major, independence would really amount to the substitution of one union for another – the main difference being that the new union with Europe would be one in which Scotland would have vastly less influence. Nor is the present a good time to be a small nation in Europe.
Further, Scottish nationalism exploits and incites the worst forms of political feeling. Nicola Sturgeon of the SNP said quite openly that (I’m afraid this is from memory as I can’t find the link) vocal anti-Scottish feeling in England is absolutely welcome because it will only drive the Scots further away from the union – if you’re a nationalist xenophobia is always good for business. The constant claims of 'bullying from Westminster', like this one, never quite seem to be spoken with disappointment or regret, but more with relish. For the Nats, it's good for Scots to feel bullied. Anything that causes them to feel alienation from or hatred of England is good.
Similarly, Salmond may claim that Cameron declines a televised debate because he is ‘feartie’ (God those laboured Scotticisms) but Cameron is surely is right to refuse to debate with someone whom he cannot trust not to appeal to the worst forms of political feeling. With the SNP trying in every other sentence to associate all England with Toryism, it seems almost certain that Salmond would use a TV debate to entrap Cameron as an English toff, and label him once and for all as a person, ethnicity, culture the hatred of which he can profit from politically.
For God's sake Scotland, choose carefully.
While Salmond deserves credit for trying to tackle head-on the problem of sectarianism in Scotland, the project is doomed to failure because he could never accept that that same general wellspring of negativity and self-destructive anger, which makes a Glaswegian protestant hate a Glaswegian Catholic, also feeds the anti-English sentiment that he turns to electoral advantage.
This is not to say that all nationalists are bigots – but enough of them are, and the SNP cannot feign ignorance of the fact that anti-English prejudice accounts for a portion of their vote. The Scotsman who blames the English for all his problems is no more reasonable than the Burnley bigot who votes BNP because it’s all the fault of the Pakistanis. (If you imagine the two can be morally differentiated because Scotland is more ‘marginal’, less ‘hegemonic’, then you suppose that two wrongs make a right, and you are a fool). Scottish nationalism’s flirtation with Fascism in the 1930s, and Salmond’s recent fawning over Putin, are no anomalies.
And then, and then – what happens if an independent Scotland were to find that its problems persist? The English would no longer be to blame, but how likely is it, really, that this would result in a sudden recanting – ‘we blamed another nation before, but now the buck stops with us’? What politician (and Salmond is a supreme politician) and what nationalist would turn their back on a proven escape route that leads from blame and embarrassment to blessed vindication? In a new nation whose very existence vindicated the politics of grievance and blame-pointing, I suggest that this just would not happen. They couldn’t blame the English this time, of course, but there would be others to carry the can – Jews, Pakistanis, the Irish (again). The nationalist genie would be well and truly out of the bottle.
The perils of secession
I realize I am being pretty much as negative as one can be about the SNP, and maybe I should be fairer. I have, for instance, totally overlooked the electoral argument for Scottish independence – that is, that Scotland should secede because of an irreconcilable democratic deficit that sees Scots shackled to Tory governments (including Thatcher's) that they didn’t vote for.
This is, on the face of it, a strong argument – an irreconcilable difference and hence grounds for divorce. But only on the face of it – if what follows below is right, it soon crumbles like shortbread.
First off, yes, Scotland sometimes gets lumbered with Tory governments that they didn't vote for – apart, that is, from all those occasions where they don't and Labour get in instead. We all suffer governments we didn't vote for - living together and in freedom means we sometimes have to endure the choices of other, equally free citizens. This is not just the price (worth paying) of democracy, but the price we pay for being part of a larger, richer, more powerful whole.
And there are serious problems with secession as the solution to democratic deficit.
Let’s say the residents of my street (every one of them) were so annoyed at voting Green every election but never getting what they voted for, that they decided to split off from the UK and form the People’s Republic of Acacia Avenue. It would be guaranteed that our votes would always count, but in turn we would pay the price of living in a much smaller, weaker state that would struggle to find its way in the world. Maybe we’d be happy with this because, whatever the cost, we’d still be the sort of body politic we wanted to be – but even so we’d surely wonder if our new weakness inflicted on us a much greater disadvantage than the democratic deficit that was the original problem. Realistically, we’d have little chance of realizing our democratic wish to make the world greener because our tiny size would limit our ability to change it.
In other words, we would have swapped one democratic deficit for another, possibly equally bad one.
So far then, The People’s Republic of Acacia Avenue is obviously equivalent to an independent Scotland: one that is in hock to an English currency union, and hopelessly at sea in a perennially unlistening EU. This also underlies Brown’s argument – ditching the UK in the name of social democracy is a bad idea for Scotland because membership of the UK makes that goal more achievable.
But there’s another problem. Secession really solves the problem by a process of atomization, and this is bad for democracy. Acacia Avenue would have pruned itself down into a politically homogenous state in which debate becomes pointless because there are no longer any meaningful political differences. The Nationalist argument falls down because it assumes that the narrow consensus in Scottish politics is a good thing that should be prolonged by independence, when really independence would prolong a strain of political sclerosis that is definitely a bad thing.
Chopping up the body politic into lots of new, homogenous, one-party units won’t work because, after all, amputation isn't much of a cure. The proper solution to calcified regional voting must be renewed courting of the vote, change in the political parties, or the formation of new political parties. The nationalist solution, on the other hand, is essentially defeatist.
My comparison between Scotland and Acacia Avenue has a problem of its own, however, and you might accuse me of being dishonest. The two are not equivalent because Scotland already is a separate political unit by dint of historical, cultural, linguistic features that far pre-date the death of the Scottish Conservatives. Acacia Avenue on the other hand feels itself separate only because of its voting habits, and to make into a separate entity on this basis alone would be artificial. Scotland forms a homogenous unit quite naturally, and the current Nationalist movement is long preceded by a feeling of difference totally unrelated to electoral science.
In other words, the Nationalist would argue that Scotland’s different voting pattern adumbrates and is symptomatic of a wider split between England and Scotland. Even if she departed citing electoral reasons, an independent Scotland would hardly constitute an artificial political construct.
The identity problem
So the Nationalist would argue that the problems I outlined above are irrelevant, because the nature of Scottish identity and Scottish national feeling totally differentiate it from my hypothetical street in north Oxford – I’m comparing apples and oranges. This doesn’t end the argument however – it is still valid, I think, to ask whether Scottish identity is a sensible reason to risk everything I described above. The Scots are free to do what they like – but we are free to scrutinize their reasons, even ‘private’ ones such as national feeling.
This takes us into new territory. I was at a talk recently where Vernon Bogdanor, the constitutional historian, argued that the economic case against Scottish independence is neither here nor there – all that matters is whether or not the Scots themselves feel they belong to, and are compatible with the UK. As he said – no economic argument in 1916 could have persuaded the Irish to remain part of Britain.
This feels like a clincher – no one can tell the Scots how they should feel about their national identity. It is by definition their business and no one else’s. I think this explains a certain reticence in non-Scottish unionists – weighing in on this matter feels intrusive and inflammatory, and possibly inappropriate. How can we tell nationalist Scots that what they feel is wrong? Surely there is no arguing how someone feels?*
And there, bingo, is my objection. Unarguable arguments have no place in our political debate. Politics just is the process of coming to decisions by reasoned and public argument - an issue that cannot be argued publicly and mutually is by definition not part of political debate. As Scotland's place in the union must be determined by political debate and that only (and not by the media, or by football, or by arm-wrestling, or whatever) am I not right in saying that we therefore must put Nationalists' feeling of Scottishness to the test? Otherwise we'd be in the absurd position of saying that the reasoning behind the greatest upheaval in modern British constitutional history is not a matter for political debate.
The comparison of the break-up of the union to a divorce is common, and very apt – it realizes the truth that a mutual union can only be dissolved from within that union. The process of breaking up is another one of those shared processes that constitute a union, like a joint bank account and carnal knowledge.
So our anxious notion that we should steer clear of Scottish national feeling as grounds for independence is misguided – this is our business. In open, democratic societies, anything political is everyone's business always.
Moreover, I said before that I believe Scotland’s departure would harm my country - as I love my country and am concerned for it, is it not therefore right that I should ask why my country is being harmed, and whether these are good reasons for harming my country? I have a stake in this. Given that differences of identity and their reconciliation are integral to this union – part of the common ground on which it came together – how can it be right to then say that an identity becomes the business of exclusively one member of that union when talk turns to separation? According to Bogdanor, mutuality goes out of the window as soon as identity is invoked as grounds for divorce – but isn’t this an arbitrary turn given that previously we pooled identity? When does ‘none of your business’ kick in within a union?
Identity politics as a whole, I believe, are poisonous to our political process because they falsely divide the shared space of public debate and grant a portion of it to one party exclusively. Moreover identity politics can only be bad, because they have the potential to make bad ideas unarguable – ‘you might think it unreasonable to destroy a 300-year-old union and impoverish forever its former members, but because my reasons are of the identity kind you cannot contest them.’
In fact I wonder if this belief in exclusive reasoning, and in unimpeachable private justification, explains the bad behaviour and terrible reasoning of the Cybernats. Dashing sallies into flagrant, steaming unreason are par for the course when you know neither reality nor reasoning can ever be called on to examine your arguments. Just witness, for example, John Swinney on Standard Life:
'Standard Life's comments [that they will relocate to London in the event of independence] show exactly why our proposals for a formal currency area are the right proposals, why they are in the best interests of business on both sides of the border and why that is what will be implemented by both governments.'
The illogic is staggering: currency union with England is the right choice, because it will remedy the damaging consequences of independence. This is an illustration of why independence is the wrong choice in this context, i.e. due to its damaging consequences. You could easily establish beyond doubt that a pack of frozen peas remedies a black eye, but this would be no argument for why you should punch me in the first place.
This is to say nothing of the malignancy directed at J. K. Rowling and the unsettlingly bizarre response of MSP Christina McKelvie of the SNP.
So appealing to private sentiments of national feeling can never be decisive in matters of public, political debate. If you agree that the Nationalists’ notion of their own Scottish identity is up for argument also, you’ll grant me permission to say that, as I see it, Salmond wants to dissolve the union in the name of a small-minded, wretchedly ungenerous concept of Scottishness that is utterly dishonest and confused about Scotland’s past and present.
And this is what I’ve wanted to say all along.
The thing that has always nagged at the back of my mind is that Scottish nationalism, as also the Welsh sort, is just so luxuriously sentimental. It doesn’t seem to have arisen as the solution to any problem – indeed the Nationalists have yet to come up with any convincing argument that there is some urgent problem that only independence can solve. Rather Scottish nationalism seems to have emerged from a society sufficiently removed from economic exigencies to indulge in a strain of pure political emotionalism. In the words of George Orwell:
What is perhaps less obvious is just why the leading writers of the ’twenties were predominantly pessimistic.… Was it not, after all, because these people were writing in an exceptionally comfortable epoch? It is just in such times that ‘cosmic despair’ can flourish. People with empty bellies never despair of the universe, nor even think about the universe, for that matter.
(from ‘Inside the Whale’)
To enjoy success at the ballot box, Salmond need only encourage the lavish expenditure of sentiment; constitutional and economic matters are secondary and anyway can be fixed around the sentiment as an afterthought.
I don’t know why I find this so objectionable. Rationally, because this is an absurdly trivial reason for destroying the United Kingdom. But on a more emotional level, it is because it strikes me as utterly phoney and ersatz – plastic.
More importantly, however, Salmond’s grandstanding masks some serious equivocations over the nature of Scottish identity and history, which on closer inspection suggest an independent Scotland would eventually face a massive identity crisis.
First off is the constant sounding off about exemplars an independent Scotland could imitate – Ireland! (a call that has gone silent post-2008) Iceland! (ditto) Scandinavia!
Here’s my beef – isn’t it strange for a nation state to conceive of its destiny in terms of other countries? President Obama would never say ‘a few more years, guys, and this country could be just like Canada’. Similarly, France would never aspire to be Germany, despite her long and frequently inglorious history of collaboration with that country.
This is because nation states are founded on a fiction of their own uniqueness. The Nats’ inability to create or believe in this fiction is telling – it not only defeats one of their main arguments for independence (viz. that Scotland has a long history of distinctiveness – I agree, but if that is so then why is her future to be found in other countries, according to the Nats?) but it also speaks of a reticence about just who Scotland would be once divorced from the UK. I suggest this reticence is in fact prevarication, brought about by Nationalists’ silent discomfort with the realities of Scotland’s history, the high points of which are all inextricably embedded in the union.
The confusion is illustrated by Salmond’s professed desire to challenge the idea that ‘Scotland was a poor, wee deprived place that had never had a fair kick o’ the ball.' Isn’t this exactly what Nationalists try to convince us of? That is, that Scotland a) is inherently a wee country (more on this below) and so can never be truly reconciled with the ambitious, bully-boy English, and b) has never had a fair kick of the ball, due to the constraints of the union? In fact, don’t the Nats need the second point to be true for their policies to have any traction?
We often see in Scotland a rather strenuous effort to convince Scots that theirs is a small country that minds its own business – almost as a dishonest attempt to slough off all those years where Scotland was in fact a big-thinking, expansive, ambitious country with every intention to play with the bigger boys (see Niall Ferguson’s argument that Scotland really has a cultural swagger rather than a cultural cringe). It seems that even in the early years of the union, it was often said that poverty in Scotland was caused by Scots being too ambitious and adventurous, unlike the humble, stay-at-home crofters of the Nationalist imagination. He may have been repeating a mere stereotype, but Daniel Defoe seems quite certain in his view that Scotland could prosper if only Scots would stay at home to improve their country, rather than expanding overseas to seek greater fortunes. And who can forget Hardy's Donald Farfrae (i.e. 'far frae haim') in The Mayor of Casterbridge:
Donald himself shared it, his voice being distinctly audible in the street, giving strong expression to a song of his dear native country that he loved so well as never to have revisited it.
When I lived in Scotland there was an anti-racism campaign on TV – ‘A small country. Not a country of small minds’ was the slogan. Something has always struck me as odd about this – since when do countries go to such lengths to identify themselves as ‘small’. Isn’t it always somewhat pejorative? Great Britain is called so because it is the 'greatest' in size among the British Isles, but in popular imagination it denotes a different sort of 'greatness'. I don’t know, maybe it’s just because Scotland as 'small country' clashes so directly with 80’s group Big Country and their punch-the-air vision of misty lochs, pipes, and other-such noble things.
It is almost as if Scots are being told to take their medicine – browbeaten into believing in a phoney Scottish meekness, all fiddle-dee-dee, we’ll just modestly look after our crofts thank-you-very-much nonsense. And all this because the nationalist argument requires it, and because it does away with the nasty ambiguity of the real Scotland’s high-rolling, frequently colonialist history. The other option is to avoid entirely the tricky bits of post-union Scottish history and opt instead for Disneyland visions of medieval Scotland – hence Bannockburn and vast, ludicrous importance of Mel Gibson to modern Scottish politics.
Let's be honest about the Scottish role in union. Make a list of eminent Scots, on paper or in your head. I’m willing to bet you a crisp one-pound note that aside from the national leaders (Wallace, the Bruce, Rob Roy) they are all post-union figures. This is not because Scotland is weak without England. It is because put together the two formed the world’s winning team, resulting in an explosion of talent and creativity that vindicates forever the benefits of fellowship and mutual respect. Unless, that is, the Nats manage to convince their countrymen instead of the virtues of divisiveness, grievance, and narcissism.
Salmond’s Scotland already feels a little like an ideological theme-park – nationalist monomania means nothing can happen north of Carlisle without it being reduced to Scottishness one way or another. Such is life when you decide to cohabit with ideologues. The always brilliant, always humane Howard Jacobson said something very true of far-right Australian nationalists:
The fact that the party is called One Nation tells you all you need to know about it. Why would anybody want only one anything?
The Nationalist project can only diminish Scotland. Can only make it pettier, less diverse, less entangled with the world that exists beyond its own self-imaginings. The choice of Bannockburn not just as a marker point for the date of the referendum but also as an anthem, in 'Flower of Scotland', tells us all we need to know – what else but a spiteful and false vision of Scotland disregards her triumph in engineering, conceiving, and fighting for the modern world, and celebrates instead a passing victory against her neighbours in the pre-modern period? This is bread-and-butter for the nationalist – but anathema to any patriot.
Scotland, please vote yes to the union.
* (You can see me trying to put this to Bogdanor at the talk itself here, at 32.20. Watch it through to the end to see the moderator ask me to shut up).